Dynamical Atmospheric Analysis Decade I July 2018

  • Mohammad Ridwan
  • 14 Jul 2018

PREDICTION DECADE II JULY 2018 The air flow is dominated by the East Wind in almost all parts of Indonesia, except in northern Sumatra, the cyclonic pattern is in the waters west of Sumatra, wind turbines may occur in central Sumatra, East and North Kalimantan, Central Sulawesi, North Maluku and West Papua supporting the establishment rain clouds in the region. Based on the monsoon index there is a reduction in the formation of rain clouds around the western part of Kalimantan, central Sumatra and western Java. Opportunity of rainfall still exist around Sulawesi Maluku and Papua around Jayawijaya Mountains

Alert, Lack of Rainfall Dasarian II July 2018 Areas with low rainfall <50 mm are mostly Sumatera, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, Java, Bali, Nusa Tenggara, parts of North Maluku, West Papua and Papua islands around Meurauke.

Extreme No Rain Days HTH> 60 days found and highest HTH value: Based on Day No Rain (HTH) monitoring, there is HTH> 60 days with the highest HTH location in DI province. Yogyakarta: BPP. (82), Srandakan (82), Central Java: Bangsri BPP (92), East Java: Ijen Crater (101), Bali: Sambirenteng / Gretek (102), West Nusa Tenggara: Sape 2 (112), East Nusa Tenggara : Wulandoni (103).

Alert, Rainfall High Decade II JULY 2018 High rainfall opportunities are likely to occur around the Jayawijaya Mountains of Papua.

RAINFALL PREDICTION AUGUST 2018 Generally in the low range (0-100 mm / month), the area with 100-300 mm / month rainfall is located in central to northern Sumatra, North Borneo, Central Sulawesi, North Maluku, West Papua and Papua. Rainfall> 300 mm / month is likely to occur in a small part of Aceh and the northern part of northern Sumatra, eastern Riau, western Sumatra, western part of Kalimantan, western part of Sulawesi, western part of western Papua and Jayawijaya mountain region. Rainfall is predominantly below Normal, AN rainfall is likely to occur in Aceh, a small part of northern and southern Sumatra, a small part of western Sumatra, North Bengkulu, a small portion of eastern East Java, a small portion of NTB and NTT, northern Borneo, western Sulawesi, Central Sulawesi, parts of North Sulawesi and Gorontalo, northern part of West Papua and Papua around Jayawijaya Mountains.

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